Small fields and wet track can puzzle punters

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<p>MEL KAPLAN<br />
WITH an average of ten runners per race and the likelihood of another approaching cold front bringing further wet weather to the fairest Cape, the seven-race Durbanville card on Tuesday could provide punters with a headache. Being by nature an optimistic “breed&rsquo;&rsquo;, most bettors are likely to tackle the challenge head on. And the good news is that there are some of the races in which even a wet track is unlikely to have an adverse effect on the runners with the best credentials.<br />
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Photo: Joey Ramsden trains Noah.</p>

<p>Should the odd upset occur the dividends will be better and therefore more enticing to go for.&nbsp;<br />
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Remember the movie “The Jewel Of The Nile&rsquo;&rsquo; and the song “When the going gets tough, the tough get going&rsquo;&rsquo;? Using that as inspiration let&rsquo;s try to unravel the card and at least attempt to decide which races might be the ones where one can get away with fewer choices particularly with regard to exotic bets.<br />
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Since the Place Accumulator kicks off in Race 1 the vote as potential banker for that exotic definitely goes to Joey Ramsden-trained Seal Of Approval. The daughter of Silvano made a promising debut over 1400m at Kenilworth and although out of a Harry Hotspur mare is likely, as has been shown by many of the progeny of Silvano, to have inherited plenty of stamina from her sire&rsquo;s side of the family.&nbsp;<br />
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She made her debut on a soft track so rainy weather will not be a problem. What&rsquo;s more, she was doing her best work at the finish on the soggy track and that will be a big plus here. We have identified banker number one and are off to a good start.<br />
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In Race 2 another Ramsden runner, Noah, is likely to start hot favourite after a good debut run that has already produced two subsequent winners and he cannot be excluded. However, only eight juveniles face the starter here and any of them could make lots of improvement. At the risk of some yellow substance from the inside off a shell finding its way to my face, I&rsquo;m suggesting that punters look beyond the obvious in this particular event.&nbsp;<br />
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Noah&rsquo;s stable companion Flashman has had lots more racing but his form is not bad and he could pop up. Jodee&rsquo;s Prospect ran a good debut race over this course and distance before disappointing twice over more ground. He could feature back over this trip. Brangelina looks capable of improvement after a slow start in her first run while Tight Lines makes his course debut and can improve.<br />
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Sabrage, Jarrah and Peacan Stream look the three to fight out Race 3.<br />
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In Race 4 Classic Element, who ran a cracker in his second run after a rest should be at peak fitness now. He goes an extra 200m compared to that run on a wet 1600m Durbanville track and could almost qualify as a potential banker. Recently improved Desert Carral could prove the danger while lightly raced Red Rake from the Basil Marcus stable should prefer the extra ground he covers here.<br />
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I&rsquo;m Molly was only 0.50 lengths behind Whispering Lady last time and is 3kg better off at the weights in Race 6. They should fight it out whatever the track conditions.</p>
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