Lordship can overcome a wide draw


<p><strong>MEL KAPLAN </strong></p>
<p>LORDSHIP has hit top form since being equipped with blinkers. He has recorded two thirds over 1400m and 1200m respectively, followed by three 1200m wins, two at Kenilworth and one at Durbanville.</p>

<p>He will sport the headgear again when he contests a MR 100 Handicap at Durbanville tomorrow and can defy the negative influence of a wide draw to make it four wins in a row.</p>
<p>Glen Hatt has ridden him in his last three races but will be replaced by Piet Botha for this event. Botha is a good deputy but will have his work cut out for him from a wide draw on a tight turning track.</p>
<p>Lordship has been rested since 6 May and has previously run poorly after a rest. However, punters should consider these facts before disparaging his chances. That previous return was over 1600m and Lordship&rsquo;s worst run prior that was over that trip. That race was also run on a soft track and it is likely that jockey “MJ&rsquo;&rsquo; Byleveld had painful shoulder joints after the race because Lordship fought his rider for a large portion of the trip.</p>
<p>Back over 1200m, he won&rsquo;t be disadvantaged if he does pull. He is capable of winning from the front, as shown in the race he won on 18 November last year. He was also not inconvenienced by the soft underfoot conditions that prevailed in his last outing.</p>
<p>So the biggest fear is his No 13 draw, which has not produced a winner in almost two years. To be fair, there have only been three races with 13 or more runners over 1200m at Durbanville in that period so the statistic is skewed. Realistically, 28% of the horses who have jumped from stall No 11 have won (as opposed to 17.6% winners from draw No 1). So Lordship could well turn his draw into a “lucky 13&rsquo;&rsquo;.</p>
<p>Lordship has four stable companions in the line-up, most of who are better over more ground, but any one of them could feature. However, Lordships main rivals could be Basil Marcus-trained Trendy Fella and Greg Ennion&rsquo;s Northern Frontier.</p>
<p>Trendy Fella ran a good race last time out, in spite of being hit by a guinea fowl, and won well at Greyville the run before.</p>
<p>Northern Frontier has his first run as a three-year-old but is a feature-race winner and with four wins from six career starts, is also above average.</p>
<p>It&rsquo;s hard to look beyond these three, but Lordship gets the vote.</p>

Views: 1951

Comments are closed.