Jack Milner: Bold Respect looks drawn to turn the tables on Kasimir
Runners trained by Brett Crawford and Justin Snaith appear to dominate the field for the Grade 2 Post Merchants over 1200m at Greyville Friday night and all that might separate the pair are the draws of their runners.
Snaith saddles top weight Kasimir who is a worthy favourite for this R400,000 race but he has to jump from gate No 11, which has only produced three winners from 35 runners over this course and distance.
The problem arises because the race starts on the turn and they do not have any piece of straight until they turn for home, some 450m from the finishing line. Many horses are caught wide and that has cost them a win.
Fortunately, Snaith has engaged Richard Fourie to ride Kasimir, who, arguably, is the best sprinter in the land right now. He won the Cape Merchants, the Grade 1 Cape Flying Championship and the Grade 2 Diadem Stakes, all at Kenilworth over the summer.
Nevertheless, Fourie, even at his brilliant best, will need some luck to overcome the draw – unless, of course, he is so much better than this field that he can win from anywhere.
He does have to carry 62kg and will be giving weight to all his opposition.
A better option might be Bold Respect, who jumps from barrier No 6. Crawford’s charge finished behind Kasimir in all of those three Cape sprints, but they were raced up the straight.
Statistics indicate that nine winners from 65 runners have emerged from that draw and that does give a slight edge to the four-year-old gelding. Against him is the fact that this is his first race at Greyville although he has raced around the turn at Durbanville.
He did win last year’s Grade 1 Golden Horse Sprint over 1200m at Scottsville so there is no doubt as to his ability and for the first time, he will be getting 2kg from Kasimir.
It will also be the first run under lights for both Kasimir and Bold Respect and some horses do not perform well in their first outing at a night meeting.
If you are looking for a horse to beat the pair then the likely dangers are Rivarine, Green Plains, La Bella Mia and Sniper Shot.
They are all drawn well, have winning form around the turn and in the case of the two fillies – La Bella Mia and Green Plains – are the next best-weighted runners behind Kasimir.