Jack Milner: Following all the No 1s could be the way to go at Turffontein on Saturday.
There are a number of good bets on the card and all of them happen to be No 1 in their respective races.
The best of the day looks to be Celtic Sea in Race 7, a Pinnacle Stakes for fillies and mares over 1400m.
This four-year-old daughter of Captain Al is a two-time Grade 1 winner, has run second on two other occasions and has also won a Grade 2 race. She has won eight of her 20 races and three of them have been over 1400m.
Although Celtic Sea carries 62kg, this Sean Tarry-trained filly is at least 5.5kg better handicapped than any of her opposition. She has an excellent rapport with jockey Gavin Lerena who has ridden her in her last four starts and looks impossible to oppose.
Tarry should also be on the mark in Race 6 with Al Mutawakel. He runs in a Progress Plate over 1600m and once again, is the best handicapped runner, this time by at least 4kg. What should be in his favour as well is his return to the more galloping Standside track.
This full brother to former SA Derby winner Al Sahem has had two runs on the Inside track but on the first occasion, he got going too late and was beaten 1.80 lengths into fourth place, while last time out he led almost from the start over 1800m but was caught close home by Chijmes.
He did run a 0.60-length third behind stablemate Zillzaal in the Grade 1 Summer Cup over 2000m, but he has not won a race beyond 1600m and this race looks ideal. Luke Ferraris takes the ride again.
Another No 1 who could finally find her way into the winner’s enclosure is Afternoon Tea in Race 3, a Maiden Juvenile Plate over 1160m. This Pathfork filly has filled the No 2 spot in all three her starts and unless there is a good unraced runner in the field, this Ashley Fortune-trained runner should be another good bet on the card.
Her last run was over 1000m and Fortune did warn she could find the trip a touch too short and that is what happened. Rapid Fire had far too much pace and Afternoon Tea was beaten 2.25 lengths.
In her penultimate start, which was over the course and distance, She was an unlucky loser when touched off by Fromheretoeternity who hung in badly and gave jockey Craig Bantam and tough time.
On this occasion, she has that touch more experience and will benefit from the 2.5kg allowance claimed by apprentice Cole Dicken. She will be hard to beat and is a good banker for BiPots and Place Accumulators.