Bendigo racing tips

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Bendigo racing tips

A really strong nine race program has been assembled for Bendigo this Saturday 28 March 2020 where it is Golden Mile Day. Adam Page from justhorseracing.com.au gives you his tips. South African punters must note that the Jackpot is commingled with Tabcorp Australia. The Jackpot consists of races 6-9.

Race 1. (03:15) Alan Simpson Tribute Handicap (84) 2400M

BACK ME

To me, it seems that No Committment is a bludger that needs encouragement and in Victoria, you’d struggle to find a stronger rider than Noel Callow, so I love the booking of him for this horse, who ran last Wednesday at Sandown and was sound in defeat when third to the inform Kentucky Tornado. Think he’s a definite winning chance here.

DANGER

Grand Promenade is a Maher/Eustace trained gelding that is in a real purple patch at the moment, winning four on the bounce, the latest being the Grand Handicap Classic at Caulfield two weeks ago when showing good ticker in the straight because he was strongly challenged but fought on and was too good. Good test here, but think he measures up.

LONG SHOT

Andrea Mantegna looks to be ticking over nicely towards the jumps season. Far from disgraced first up at the Valley behind Polanco before going to the Wangaratta Cup and running a good one again when third to Salsamor. Up to 2400m looks a big tick for him. Not sure he wins, but goes in all multiples.

 

RACE 2. (03:50) RSN 94.5AM Bendigo Handicap (78) 1300M

BACK ME

Nick Ryan has Battle Torque bursting to win a race and he gets a great chance here. Former WA galloper that has had three runs in Melbourne, the latest at the midweek meeting at Flemington when surging hard from the back and just missing out on picking up Jumbo Ozaki. Crying out for 1600m, but a fast run 1400m should be okay. Just hope he’s within range on the turn.

DANGER

The best version of Turn The Tide is certainly good enough to win this. Cindy Alderson trains this son of So You Think, who is first up after a pretty good Spring/Summer prep, which saw him win impressively at Caulfield and was generally around the mark each time he stepped out. Liked the recent Cranbourne jumpout and was very good late first up last prep behind Titan Blinders over 1100m. 1300m first up is a good sign for me.

LONG SHOT

Villa Sarchi is working towards a win I feel. Wasn’t too bad two back down the Flemington straight behind Chicago Cub before going to Caulfield where he got back over 1200m but finished off with real purpose late behind Gododdin, running an eye catching fifth. Bigger track, fitter and 1300m looks a really good set up.

 

RACE 3. (04:30) Underground Cabling Systems Handicap (84) 1100M

BACK ME

Coruscate is worth another chance I feel. Was over a year between runs when resuming at Randwick back on 15 February and was pretty ordinary I thought behind God Of Thunder, but first up off a long break on wet ground, want to be forgiving. Tick over trial was very good and on top of the ground here, he can win for sure.

DANGER

Barthelona is a talented son of Zoffany for Michael Moroney that resumes. This gelding hasn’t raced since 4 August at Sandown when down the track over 1400m behind Shot Of Irish, who at the time was flying. Been given a good break, likes racing at Bendigo and is a horse who can really sprint well with fresh legs.

LONG SHOT

Redcore is a Greg Eurell trained sprinter that resumes. This gelding hasn’t raced since 20 April last year at Caulfield when badly held up and should have finished much closer behind Haunted. That form clearly reads well for this and his trial, as well as a subsequent jumpout, have been impressive. I’ll take a punt on him and will be backing him as well.

 

RACE 4. (05:10) Vobis Gold Rush 1000M

BACK ME

Massuese on top for me. This filly has finished runner up in both career outings, the latest coming in the Redoute’s Choice two weeks ago when a very game second to River Night after doing work in the run out wide. She’s showed enough in her short career to date to suggest she’s above average and should take some beating here.

DANGER

River Night is a daughter of Night Of Thunder who got a Stakes win next to her name a fortnight back in the Redoute’s Choice when leading throughout under Lane, getting things to suit in front and gave them zero chance of running her down. Bit harder here I think, but she’s got the runs on the board with good form around her.

LONG SHOT

The class of Ideas Man will carry him a long way. Talented colt for the Maher/Eustace stable that was solid in defeat in the Chairmans before contesting the Blue Diamond where he was down the track behind Tagaloa but far from disgraced. Been freshened up and looked to move really well in a jumpout last Tuesday.

 

RACE 5. (05:50) URMG Security Handicap 2200M

BACK ME

Euphorique looks a progressive galloper for the Maher/Eustace team that comes through the VOBIS Gold Reef from two weeks ago where he took on a pretty solid field and I thought was far from disgraced in defeat when third to Western Sun, and was a little unlucky not to finish closer. Should eat up 2200m and is a knockout chance.

DANGER

Royal Crown is heading in the right direction for Robbie Griffiths. He ran over 1800m at the midweeks at Sandown when settling off the speed before finding clear and finishing off strongly to win narrowly but impressively. Has always showed good promise since day one when with Mick Kent and out to a staying trip will suit, I think.

LONG SHOT

Coin Collector should appreciate the rise to 2200m and taking on his own age. Ran over 2040m at the Valley against the older horses last time out and kept finding in a good effort to finish second to Think We’re Due. That was 13 March, and was around a month between runs, so he’ll improve off that and up to 2200m, hard to beat.

 

RACE 6. (06:30) Bendigo Gold Bracelet 1400M

BACK ME

An almighty throw at the stumps here with No Money No Honey, a Richard Laming trained mare that resumes. Hasn’t raced since the Country Final during Cup Week at Flemington when bleeding, so forget she went around behind Star Missile. Not asked for much in a Cranbourne trial but a subsequent jumpout was very good behind Snogging, a well performed stablemate. Did it without the Blinkers, so hoping she can get three wide cover and launch.

DANGER

Clarice Cliffs is one to include in exotics. Greg Eurell trains this mare, who hasn’t really set the world on fire this time in, but in saying that, hasn’t been far away. Ran over 1400m at Flemington last start where she had the peach run just off the speed and loomed large, but couldn’t quite finish it off when a close up fourth to Jumbo Ozaki. Think that form reads okay for this.

LONG SHOT

If you like No Money No Honey, like I do, you have to like Snogging. Her form from the Spring does read very well and if she’s forward enough in condition, think she only runs well. Resumes after a good prep in the Spring, which included a close up fifth to Amangiri on Cox Plate Day. That jumpout mentioned above was quite good and is a first up winner.

 

RACE 7. (07:10) Bendigo Guineas 1400M

BACK ME

Riddle Me That has come back in super order for Andrew Noblet. Sat wide throughout first up at Pakenham but gave them a proper spanking. Then raced over 1400m at Flemington when sitting off a moderate speed but still chased hard and got within a length of a good colt in Spend. Third up, hard fit, looks a very winnable race.

DANGER

Heirborn looks a key chance. Anthony Freedman trains this three-year-old, who resumed over 1200m under the lights at Pakenham where they absolutely crawled in front so nothing really from the back was going to be in the mix, including Heirborn. Did a great job to get as close as he did to Paperboy. Suited up to 1400m and is hard to beat.

LONG SHOT

Going to give Condo’s Express another chance. Richard Laming trains this handy three-year-old, who hasn’t raced since the Inglis Sprint at Warwick Farm when seemingly not 100% happy on the bog track behind Rubisaki, who of course ticked that form off in the Kewney. Fresh legs, at 1400m, his best is clearly good enough, and stable is finding form.

 

RACE 8. (07:50) Golden Mile 1600M

BACK ME

Going to give Iconoclasm another chance. The wet track just wasn’t his go first up at Flemington over 1400m in what was a high rating race when down the track behind Wild Planet. Back on firmer footing should really help his cause, as should a rise to 1600m, and if they press forward, he can get over comfortably via Hellova Street.

DANGER

Hellova Street is an absolute beauty for Patrick Payne who will give his all on speed. Got a ripping run in front two weeks ago in the Anniversary Vase at Caulfield and rightfully kicked on strongly when third to Guizot. I think 1600m these days sees him right out but with a soft lead, he’ll prove hard to beat as always.

LONG SHOT

Gold Fields is the improver here I feel. Comes through the Anniversary Vase at Caulfield where he took a sit off the speed in what was pretty much a barrier trial speed, a set-up he clearly doesn’t like. He’s much better when on speed and rolling so if that can eventuate here, his best is clearly good enough to be around the mark.

 

RACE 9. (08:25) Mitchelton Winery Handicap (90) 1400M

BACK ME

Big Night Out looks one of the better gambles on the program. John Sadler trains this four-year-old, who has raced over 1200m in both runs back from a break and is clearly looking for further, which he gets here. Ran down the straight at Flemington last start and chased hard when second to Chicago Cub. Up to 1400m, off a good speed, he’s very likeable.

DANGER

Jumbo Ozaki is going well for Danny O’Brien in two runs for the new stable. Last run saw him race over 1400m at Flemington when a well-supported favourite and despite falling in to win, the victory had plenty of merit given he was on speed and left a sitting shot for those from behind. Hard fit now, looks a leading contender.

LONG SHOT

Black Sail lacks the class of some of these but I think the Maher/Eustace stable has him going well. Ran in the St Patricks Day Cup at Geelong where he was left in front early on in the straight but was going very well and despite being strongly challenged in the straight, he showed some courage when it counted and clung on. Looks to get on speed comfortably and has upside.

 

BEST BET: Race 9, Big Night Out

NEXT BEST: Race 4, Masseuse

LONG SHOT: Race 6, No Money No Honey

QUADDIE: (Races 6-9):

Leg One: 2, 4, 8, 14, 15

Leg Two: 5, 7

Leg Three: 5, 7, 15, 17

Leg Four: 12

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