Werribee could pay big!

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Werribee could pay big!

Nine races are carded at Werribee in Melbourne on Thursday, where the first leg of the Jackpot (Races 6-9) is scheduled to be run at 07:00.

The bad news is that the consensus prediction is to go wide in the first leg.

The good news is that, with big fields and open races, the payouts could be very handsome indeed.

Good luck.

Here follows a race-by-race analysis as well as recent barrier draw statistics over various distances.

 

Race 1, Maiden Plate, 1105m

The scratching of ROME has punters pondering as the race is now more open. SUMMER LOVER was amongst the placegetters last start running second at Sale on a soft track when fresh and has a lot of early speed, in with a chance. MIDSHIPS placed when fresh and faded to finish fifth last start at Mornington, still in this. NEODIUM placed in Morphettville trial and drawn the rails, place best.

 

Race 2, Maiden Plate, 1410m

Should be a close-run race between the top picks. BLESS THE FLEET came on to finish midfield last start at Stawell when resuming and ran sixth at Hamilton when last second-up, among the main chances. CATCHA SPARK first-up after 13-week break and won’t be far away in the run, has solid claims. CHRYSLA placed at long odds last start at Werribee and has two placings from three runs this prep, cannot be ruled out.

 

Race 3, Maiden Plate, 1610m

BILLIE DE LUNE in the money last start running second at Ballarat and carrying less weight, a winning chance. SPILIA disappointed when placing as favourite last start at Kilmore and should run fitter for past attempts, cannot be ruled out. ROYAL ADMIRAL racing back from the city and likely to race off the speed, place only.

 

Race 4, BM64 Handicap, 2020m

TOUGH VIC 3 wins from eight attempts this campaign and placed last start at Ararat, has solid claims. BOSS CONI will enjoy these conditions and rates highly with Will Price back on board, in with a chance. REDWOOD RISING has the speed to overcome drawing the widest barrier and won once this prep at Pakenham Park two runs back, not without eachway claims. LIKE THE CLAPPERS doesn’t take many to get going winning three when fresh but ran eighth last start at Geelong when first up, could upset.

 

Race 5, BM64 Handicap, 2020m

STEINBRENNER has the speed to overcome a very wide draw and won once this prep at Pakenham Park four runs back, hard to go past. FLORIDA DREAM chased strongly to win last start at Ararat and two wins from six attempts this campaign, still in this. MOSS ‘N’ BOLT ran three lengths back from the winner last start at Sale on a soft track when fresh and up in distance, sneaky chance. INFALLYBELLE has the speed to overcome drawing the widest barrier and down in weight, don’t dismiss.

 

Race 6, BM64 Handicap, 1610m

Go wide in exotics in a tough race. THE REGIMENT in strong form with two wins from 11 attempts this campaign and in the money last start running third at Ballarat, a winning chance. SODALAY has won or placed in all three races so far and won last start to break maiden at Werribee, in with a chance. FLOREAT PICA draws to do no work, the real danger in the race. ABLESTOCK resumes after a spell of 24 weeks and chased strongly to win last start to break maiden at Donald, sneaky chance.

 

Race 7, BM64 Handicap, 1410m

SIGN OF USSURI only just missed last start, finishing half a length back from the winner at Sandown on a soft track when first up and racing back from the city, commands respect. RIGHT YOU ARE first-up after 21-week spell and has had a flying start to their career, not without eachway claims. JANE’S ANGEL let-up for nine weeks and comes back to race at a country level, capable of getting into the money. VIA CAPO racing back from metro track and won two of three as a favourite, not the worst.

 

Race 8, BM78 Handicap, 1105m

Not a lot between the top three in this. RODDANDTODD only just missed last start, finishing a length back from the winner at Bendigo when resuming, among the main chances. CAN’TFORGETYOU generally strong second-up placing at Mornington last second-up attempt and finished in the middle of the pack last start at Bendigo when resuming, can figure. LIM’S LIGHTNING let-up and racing back from the city, expect to be right up there. MOOR WANTED led all the way to win last start at Terang on a soft track when resuming and relishes the heavy, in with a chance.

 

Race 9, BM64 Handicap, 1105m

LOMBARDO at only start winner at Bendigo, well placed. MORE SUNDAYS back from 20-week spell and will come to hand quickly, the real danger in the race. MISS SKEPTICAL faded to finish on the winners’ heels last start at Wangaratta and carrying less weight, place hope. CARLINGFORD has the speed to overcome a very wide draw, place chance.

 

Barrier draw statistics over 1100m, 1400m, 1600m, 2000m

1100m
Br Runs Wins Win%
1 160 21 13.1%
2 159 22 13.8%
3 159 14 8.8%
4 160 18 11.3%
5 159 25 15.7%
6 151 19 12.6%
7 139 16 11.5%
8 120 10 8.3%
9 93 6 6.5%
10 70 8 11.4%
11 39 2 5.1%
12 21 0 0.0%
13 9 0 0.0%
14 3 0 0.0%

 

1400m
Br Runs Wins Win%
1 165 19 11.5%
2 165 16 9.7%
3 166 21 12.7%
4 166 22 13.3%
5 164 12 7.3%
6 164 24 14.6%
7 155 19 12.3%
8 139 10 7.2%
9 119 6 5.0%
10 90 10 11.1%
11 66 1 1.5%
12 34 4 11.8%
13 16 2 12.5%
14 5 1 20.0%

 

1600m
Br Runs Wins Win%
1 117 10 8.5%
2 117 12 10.3%
3 117 11 9.4%
4 117 14 12.0%
5 116 15 12.9%
6 114 10 8.8%
7 106 12 11.3%
8 95 12 12.6%
9 74 9 12.2%
10 62 7 11.3%
11 45 4 8.9%
12 30 0 0.0%
13 14 1 7.1%
14 6 1 16.7%

 

2000m
Br Runs Wins Win%
1 79 6 7.6%
2 78 4 5.1%
3 79 11 13.9%
4 79 11 13.9%
5 78 14 17.9%
6 78 7 9.0%
7 73 7 9.6%
8 66 1 1.5%
9 55 5 9.1%
10 51 4 7.8%
11 36 4 11.1%
12 20 4 20.0%
13 8 0 0.0%
14 4 1 25.0%

Racenet.com.au

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