Rosehill Saturday preview

Rosehill Saturday preview


Tips and race-by-race analysis of Saturday’s meeting at Rosehill in Australia.

TAB BETS for this meeting = ALL RACES: Commingled Win, Place, Exacta, Rolling Double (Races 1-2; 2-3 etc) AND Commingled Jackpot (RACES 6-9).

All bets R1 unit,  minimum bet R6 (minimum EACHWAY Bet = R6 Win, R6 Place = R12),  Commingled JACKPOT no fractional betting, no tickets going forward/will pays,  ROLLING DOUBLE amount bet must be multiple of R2 so bet R6, R12, R14 not R7 or R9.

TABCORP Australia PLACE rules: Less than 5 carded no Place betting,  5-7 carded payouts FIRST, SECOND,  8 or more carded payouts FIRST, SECOND, THIRD.

If more than 30 runners carded, TAB operates SA pools on race and TAB SA rules apply. In such races all runners numbered 30 and higher are bracketed as Number 30, which can only qualify once for dividend purposes.

TELEVISION: Races 3-9 TT1 (in TABs/Tellytrack ch 239 DStv).

Phumelela TAB: call bets only = call venue key 82 to bet. Gold Circle: mark V07 oval.


Conditions: Fine
Going: Good4  
Race 1
Class: 3-Y-O & Up, Class 3, Handicap
6. Shamusu Sho (17)
3. Perfect Pitch (9)
9. Shelby Sixtysix (2)
Stand-out between the top two picks. SHAMUSU SHO strong finishing effort to win last start at Narromine, genuine contender. PERFECT PITCH has five placings from six runs this prep and ran fifth last start at Randwick, among the chances. SHELBY SIXTYSIX winner of last two at Wagga Wagga and won all previous races as a favourite, don’t dismiss. 
Race 2
BM 78 HCP 2400m
Class: 3-Y-O & Up, BM78, Handicap
2. Fanciful Toff (14) $4.80
13. Wild Impact (11)
3. Humbolt Current (8)
11. He Runs Away (3)
FANCIFUL TOFF has the speed to overcome drawing the widest barrier and three of five wins have come from dry ground, has solid claims. WILD IMPACT couldn’t hold on and just missed last start at Warwick Farm, in with a chance. HUMBOLT CURRENT ran ninth last start at Flemington, cannot be ruled out. HE RUNS AWAY just missed at long odds last start at Warwick Farm and drops 2.5kg from last run, strong place chance.
Race 3
Class: GROUP LR, 2-Y-O, Fillies, Quality
3. Zeftabrook (4)
1. Macroura (1)
4. Marboosha (11)
8. Newsreader (5)
ZEFTABROOK looking for a hatrick after winning two in a row at Wellington and Muswellbrook, genuine contender. MACROURA has won both races so far and drawn the rails, don’t dismiss. MARBOOSHA has won both races so far and rates highly with Rachel King retaining the ride, still in this. NEWSREADER narrowly beaten at long odds at only start at Randwick and must be respected from this yard, not without each-way claims.
Race 4
Class: 3-Y-O, Set Weights
1. Dawn Passage (4)
4. Masked Crusader (6)
2. True Detective (1)
5. Rocha Clock (5)
Hard to split the top two selections. DAWN PASSAGE coming off a win at Rosehill and a track specialist winning twice at the track, genuine contender. MASKED CRUSADER looking to make it four in a row after another win at Randwick last start and rates highly with Tommy Berry aboard, capable of getting into the money with a bit of luck. TRUE DETECTIVE just missed as favourite last start at Rosehill and has three placings from five runs this prep, consider in exotics. ROCHA CLOCK made ground late to win last start at Randwick and drops in weight, for the exotics.
Race 5
BM 78 HCP 1100m
Class: BM78, Handicap
Top Bets from the Experts
Richard Callander
BET: Win
3. Lashes (2)  $3.7Lashes was scratched from last week’s assignment as was the favourite Adelong and to my eye they look the two winning chances. Lashes has trialled well twice in readiness for a first-up tilt. With a couple of others that have early speed which could help the tempo it swayed me to Lashes, who from an inside draw should be in a stalking position with plenty of petrol when it’s required.
Stephen Brassel
BET: Each Way
5. Broken Arrows (8)  $10Broken Arrows resumes from a spell but the David Pfeiffer-trained gelding looks ready to go after two solid trials, finishing third on each occasion. He was good when last in work winning impressively at Kensington and Gosford before a close second in a Saturday benchmark 78 at Kembla. Before spelling Broken Arrows was well backed over this course and distance when beaten 2½ lengths in a benchmark 88 behind Embracer and Invictus Salute. The four-year-old will get back from a wider gate but the speed map has a fast pace expected and Broken Arrows will be hitting the line hard when it matters.

9. Adelong (5)
3. Lashes (2)
4. Golden Tycoon (7)
ADELONG has been flying of late and was narrowly beaten as a favourite last start at Canterbury when fresh, genuine contender. LASHES first-up after 13 week break and has shown potential in trials, capable of getting into the money. GOLDEN TYCOON strong in winning last start at Orange and has good early speed, place claims.
Race 6
Class: GROUP LR, Quality
1. Graff (5)
10. Trumbull (9)
3. Ranier (8)
6. Sambro (7)
GRAFF finished half a length back from the leader last start at Rosehill when first up and has outstanding form at this track, key chance. TRUMBULL ran on strong to finish on the winner’s heels last start at Randwick and four from five wins have been in the dry, quinella. RANIER won at big odds last start at Randwick when first up and placed at trial since last race 28 days ago, capable of getting into the money. SAMBRO ran eighth last start at Randwick when fresh and two of three wins have come from dry ground, place claims.
Race 7
Class: GROUP LR, 3-Y-O, Fillies, Quality
Top Bets from the Experts
Stephen Brassel
BET: Win
5. Fituese (3) $2.4Lightly raced filly who was most impressive winning on resumption over 1000m at Kensington and the daughter of Deep Field still has a stack of upside. She has only raced six times for four wins, and she sat wide with no cover before cruising past them to beat L’cosmo by just under three lengths over on a soft track. This is a tougher race, but she does drop 3kg and from barrier three Rachel King should be able to get good cover forward of midfield and I can see Fiteuse proving too good for the older mares.
3. Enfleurage (11)
1. Wayupinthesky (1)
4. Aquitaine (12)
5. Fituese (3)
ENFLEURAGE first-up after 14 week break and won one of two trials, commands respect. WAYUPINTHESKY back from six week let-up and has placed in two attempts this campaign, dangerous. AQUITAINE resumes after a 14 week spell and in good shape from recent trial successes, each-way claims. FITUESE coming off a win at Randwick when fresh and should race on the speed, in with a chance.
Race 8
Class: GROUP 3, Fillies & Mares, Quality
Top Bets from the Experts
Stephen Brassel
BET: Each Way
20. So Taken (3) $23Going to need a bit of luck just for So Taken to get a run in the race being fourth emergency but if she does get the call-up at around the $31 I’ll be happily having something each-way on the four-year-old. Last time out the Chris Waller-trained mare carried 60kg when beaten a length by Rocha Clock over 1300m on the Kensington track when giving the winner 2.5kg. Rocha Clocka is ultra-smart and on Saturday goes around in the Inglis 3YO Guineas as a very real chance. So Taken drops to just 54kg on this and I’m crossing the fingers she sneaks in as from a good barrier she’s a real chance.
1. Amangiri (8)
5. Irithea (20)
9. Dyslexic (9)
Open race with luck in running crucial. AMANGIRI won last start at Rosehill and won four of eight as a favourite, dangerous. IRITHEA has the speed to overcome a very wide draw and a track specialist winning twice at Rosehill, in with a chance. DYSLEXIC chased well to fall just short last start at Rosehill and all wins have come when faced with dry ground, not without each-way claims.
Race 9
Class: GROUP LR, Quality
2. Soothing (10)
9. Prophet’s Thumb (12)
6. Spending to Win (6)
4. God of Thunder (7)
Not much between these. SOOTHING won five of 11 as a favourite and rates highly with James McDonald aboard, genuine contender. PROPHET’S THUMB only able to place as favourite last start at Caulfield but carries a lot less weight and won three of five as a favourite, each-way claims. SPENDING TO WIN won once this prep at Rosehill six runs back. Finished one and a half lengths off the winner last start at the track, still in this. GOD OF THUNDER a track specialist winning twice at Rosehill and won two of six as a favourite, cannot be ruled out.



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