Duric hoping to extend lead

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Duric hoping to extend lead

VLAD DURIC

Larry Foley: Preview, selections and horse-by-horse analysis of Saturday’s race meeting at Kranji in Singapore.

While TOP KNIGHT put in a rare poor run as favourite in the Raffles Cup last Saturday, it was a terrific Group 1 day’s racing with ARAMAAYO once again showing why he is the best weight-for-age miler in Singapore.

And the win was the $400,000 meat in a Ruan Maia treble sandwich, with the Brazilian closing the gap to the reigning champ, Vlad Duric, to just seven with 10 meetings left in the Covid-reduced season.

So obviously these two red-hot riders are the jockeys to follow, but while Maia will rely on a few each-way hopes to add to his tally, it may be Duric who can extend his lead with a very good book of rides at Kranji on Saturday.

From Race 1, FLYING TOURBILLON is an improver down in grade in the opening event, while Duric and blinkers can improve DESTINY CHILD who looks some hope in an open Maiden in Race 4.

Another maiden and another winning hope for Duric with JUST STARS in Race 6 before things get more serious with PATTAYA (Race 7) and SAYONARA (Race 8) both hard to beat.

Duric may have saved his best for his last ride (Race 10) with IN ALL HIS GLORY in cracking form and the Cliff Brown-trained four-year-old looks hard to beat and a horse to follow through the grades.

If Maia was to keep in touch in the race for jockey honours in 2020, the likes of MACEO (Race 6), RISE OF EMPIRE (Race 7) and CENTENARY DIAMOND (Race 10) will keep the Duric mounts honest and with these two jockeys going head-to-head, the winner is always competitive racing.

BEST BET

Race 10: In All His Glory

VALUE BETS

Race 6: River Roca

Race 11: California

 

JACKPOT:

R360

Race 8: 1, 3, 4, 5, 6

Race 9: 1, 2, 3

Race 10: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 10

Race 11: 2, 5, 6, 10

 

Race 1

Selections; 4 PERFECT – 3 FLYING TOURBILLON – 5 STAR EFFECT – 1 BLITZ POWER

Not many tougher punting races than this Class 5 event over 1400m, with most having winning chances. In fact you could make a case for backing at least eight with some confidence and it would even pay to go wider in exotics if the budget permits. So two Class droppers in PERFECT and FLYING TOURBILLON may have the upside needed to win. PERFECT has the better recent form in Class 4 and gets the nod after being beaten only 1.3 lengths over the mile last start, but FLYING TOURBILLON gets Duric from gate 1 and he could easily win with support likely. STAR EFFECT won too well last start when leading throughout not to think he can’t do the same again from gate 2, while BLITZ POWER is due and he will enjoy the step up to 1400m. Of the others that can win, the maiden – ALMUGIR – looks due, as does AWESOME CONQUEROR, while CIZEN BOSS, STAR FIFTYTWO and HIDDEN PROMISE all can be considered at value. Betting Strategy – PERFECT each-way.

1 BLITZ POWER *** Drawn wide but ready to win and step up to 1400m looks ideal. 4.00

2 CIZEN BOSS ** Never got involved last start but work late OK and can consider over this trip. 12

3 FLYING TOURBILLON *** Form reads badly but significant drop in grade and can win with Duric from gate 1 factors. 5.00

4 PERFECT *** Has been working home well in Class 4 and only has to bring that form to this field to win. 12

5 STAR EFFECT *** Led and was too strong in similar affair last start and have to respect after drawing gate 2. 6.00

6 ALMUGIR *** Maiden who has been running on well so 1400m holds no fears and can win in Class 5 Company. 12

7 STORM TO WIN *** Excuses for poor run two starts back and looks due on runs either side of that effort. 8.00

8 ACROBAT * Better than what he showed first up and has subsequently trialled solidly so could improve with one eye on the market. 33

9 AWESOME CONQUEROR *** Broke maiden this trip three back and showed enough last start to follow with senior rider a factor. 8.00

10 ALLEGRO * OK late last start and will appreciate 1400m but may need longer again to show his best. 33

11 STAR FIFTYTWO ** Broke maiden two back and not far away last start. Blinkers off and should be competitive late. 16

12 HIDDEN PROMISE ** Won last start over 1800m but versatile and claim helps his cause with best work expected late. 20

13 RUNMINDERBINDERRUN ** Disappointing not to have won of late given form and support but pay to respect. 12

14 SUPER SPEED ** Battled away this Class last start but could make excuses and worth thought on best form. 20

Race 2

Selections; 1 MR SHOWMAN – 2 SUPER PINS – 5 LIM’S BESTBREAKER – 8 UNSUNG HERO

A top heavy race with the two highest rated maidens in MR SHOWMAN and SUPER PINS both likely to get heavy support. Not much separates the pair, although MR SHOWMAN does get blinkers added to his gear and he obviously doesn’t have to improve much to win over 1000m on what he showed last start. But SUPER PINS is very honest and while overdue to win, he should break though sooner than later and will figure prominently throughout with Woodworth to ride. Looking for value, LIM’S BESTBREAKER had excuses last start and was not tested to the wire in Class 5 over this trip and he did look to have plenty in hand so worth serious thought. UNSUNG HERO first-up may also provide value and his recent trials suggests he can improve on two solid runs at his last campaign. Add numbers 3, 4, 7 and 11 into skinny end of exotics. MR SHOWMAN win, saver on LIM’S BESTBREAKER.

1 MR SHOWMAN *** Just missed last start when making all the running and gets blinkers. Hard to beat. 2.80

2 SUPER PINS *** Overdue to break maiden status but would have a big say here. 3.00

3 LATENT POWER ** Did it tough last start and excuses (respiratory) start prior so pay to keep safe with gate 1 a factor. 8.00

4 ARAMAYA ** Form reads baldy but gets Duric and appreciates better gate sans blinkers. 20

5 LIM’S BESTBREAKER *** Last run a lot better than it looks given he was running on strongly before checked late. Value. 12

6 RIVER RUBY * Battles. 100

7 SUN COUNCIL ** Never a winning threat but improved to place at start two and worth thought. 10

8 UNSUNG HERO *** Resuming after two solid efforts and recent trials good enough to have a say here. 8.00

9 AUTUMN BLITZ * No. 100

10 KANTHAKA * Gets tongue-tie but hard to have. 100

11 LADY ROXANNE ** Did the work and battled on solidly on debut so should improve for the run with tongue-tie on. 12

12 OUD WOOD * Needs to show more than debut effort. 100

13 TILSWORTH SYDNEY * Nothing last start but recent trial good enough to expect improvement. 50

14 SPEARHEAD * Didn’t need the wide gate. 100

Race 3

Selections; 2 AL GREEN – 3 THOMAS DE LAGO – 11 LIMS FORCE – 5 RESOLUTION

Not many Class 4 races weaker than this, and it’s made even weaker by the scratching of the nominal favourite, SKY EYE. So as it now stands, only AL GREEN and THOMAS DE LAGO win without surprising. In saying that, both have drawn wide and it may be whoever gets the luck in running wins. Not much separates the two but AL GREEN did well to place after a tough on-pace run last start and that form should hold up here. Of the others, LIM’S FORCE will also figure in the mix and is often value, while RESOLUTION on best form is the only other horse to watch. Betting Strategy – LIM’S FORCE each-way.

1 CALCULATION * Race suits but issues last start (roarer) and have to take on trust. 20

2 AL GREEN *** Was closer in running when placing last start and pay to keep following. 3.00

3 THOMAS DE LAGO *** Gate a worry but was in the place mix last start and this field is very weak so can win. 3.00

4 BOY NEXT DOOR * Recent trial OK but back in trip and have to take on trust. 33

5 RESOLUTION ** Flopped last start but better back on the Poly and gate 3 helps. Keep safe. 5.00

6 BIG MARY * Will improve with racing but like to see more before considering. 50

7 HEART OF COURAGE * Appreciates first-u run but like to see more before considering this campaign. 33

8 GOOD LUCK CHARM * Won in Class 5 last start and that company looks his caper. 20

9 LEADING CELLIST * Winkers added but struggling. 50

10 BRIGHT SUN * Blinkers and tongue-tie off but drawn wide and needs easier. 50

11 LIM’S FORCE ** Usually thereabouts and often value so can include in exotics sans blinkers. 7.00

12 SKY EYE *** Scratched.

13 BLACK QUAIL * Has speed and will be nuisance value in this weak field. 33

14 ELISE * Prefer on turf but has enough speed to have a say with blinkers removed. 33

Race 4

Selections; 8 POROSHIRI – 9 GUNMETAL GREY – 5 CARAKA – 10 SESON

Another race with no depth – this time maiden over 1400m on the turf – and on race form, POROSHIRI is the one to beat. The 3YO Japanese-bred gelding has definitely improved at two runs this campaign and given he loomed a winning hope last start and gets pacifiers added for this, he is the one to beat. However, two big improvers from the trials in CARAKA and GUNMETAL GREY are well worth a look. CARAKA gets blinkers and his trial with headgear suggests he can give this a shake, while GUNMETAL GREY – who comes through the same trial – looked to have some in hand at his last race start so he is worth following. SESSON the best of the rest on honest race form, while DESTINY CHILD gets Duric and blinkers so could improve lengths. QIJI STAR for exotics and forget the rest. Betting Strategy – GUNMETAL GREY each-way.

1 ANOTHER SHOW * Blinkers off and recent trial OK but battles as a rule. 33

2 CLARTON SUPREME * Battled away OK last start and this race may be weak enough to consider. 20

3 DAWNBREAKER * Needs to show more. 33

4 QIJI STAR *** Placed in weak Poly affair last start but may appreciate 1400m on the turf in this field. 12

5 CARAKA *** Race form hopeless but gets blinkers added and improves lengths on the back of a good trial. 6.00

6 LAKSANA * Struggled at both starts. 20

7 DESTINY CHILD *** Thereabouts without being a threat of late but gets blinkers and Duric. Keep safe. 8.00

8 POROSHIRI *** Looked a winning show late last start and pacifiers may help here. Can win. 2.60

9 GUNMETAL GREY *** Looked to have some in hand over this trip last start and subsequent trial was good enough to have a big say here. 6.00

10 SESON *** Caused his own trouble when running on solidly last start and should figure in this finish. 6.00

11 THE WILD PRINCE * Needs to show more. 50

12 DONLIKEYOU * Needs to improve on debut run. 50

13 FIGHT MY WAY * Blinkers off but hard to have. 50

14 KING PIN ** Race form hopeless but gets blinker s and should improve on trial form with headgear. 33

Race 5

Selections; 13 LEMON SQUASH – 14 SCOOTER – 6 SUCCESS STREET – 2 HOOGA NET

An extremely odd race where the best two horses in the field – LEMON SQUASH and SCOOTER – are the two emergencies and goodness knows who wins if they don’t get a start. Both LEMON SQUASH and SCOOTER are in good form in similar affairs and both could start near to even money, which is remarkable. LEMON SQUASH only gets the early nod as he gets a run if there is only one scratching. As mentioned, we have no idea who wins if the emergencies don’t get a run but SUCCESS STREET had excuses not to finish closer last start and could be ready to run an improved race, while BROTHER MAK MAK and HOOGA NET have had some recent good showings. WINS, MIRACLE TIME, HOLY GRAIL and VETRI NAMATHE for exotics. Betting Strategy – LEMON SQUASH win if he gets a start.

1 BROTHER MAK MAK ** Only battled last start but gate 1 helps and could improve. 5.00

2 HOOGA NET ** Never involved last start from wide gate and should improve in what is a suitable race. 5.00

3 TIN’S MACHINE * Form reads badly and drawn wide but blinkers off and better form was sans headgear. 20

4 WINS ** Appreciates first up run and best recent effort was in similar affair to this two back so watch market. 8.00

5 OFFICIAL * Recent trial OK and gate 3 helps but just a battler. 20

6 SUCCESS STREET ** Excuses when making ground last start over the mile and worth thought on that effort. 5.00

7 MIRACLE TIME ** Appreciates first up run and worth another look on trial form. 6.00

8 OCEAN ELEVEN * Maiden who struggles as a rule. 33

9 VESONTIO * Looked to have every chance last start and needs to find more. 12

10 HOLY GRAIL ** Hard to follow but recent trial was good enough to keep safe over a suitable trip. 8.00

11 HOSTWIN CHEVALIER * Struggles. 50

12 VETRI NAMATHE ** Drawn wide and looks hopeless on form but trip suits and this race is weak enough to consider. 20

13 LEMON SQUASH *** In form, race suits and wins if he gets a start. 2.00

14 SCOOTER *** In form, will lead and extremely hard to pass with heavy support likely. 2.00

Race 6

Selections; 9 RIVER ROCA – 6 MACEO – 2 JUST STARS – 11 SPEED RACER

This race looks a minefield for punters with MACEO likely to start favourite but given he has been beaten (and well beaten last start) as favourite at all four starts, he is a risk. However, he gets to jump from gate 1, blinkers go off and Maia goes on, so a win would not surprise. JUST STARS was supported in the same race as MACEO last start and ran third with Duric up and with the champ retaining the ride, he can overcome the wide gate and win. But the horse to watch is RIVER ROCA who looks hopeless on race form but gets blinkers added and it’s worth noting he trialled super with headgear back in August and could show up here at hopefully value. Of the rest, SPEED RACER had excuses last start and is worth thought, as is LADY FAST who could run a very cheeky race from gate 3. Market best guide on the rest. Betting Strategy – RIVER ROCA win.

1 QUICK SHOSHA ** Not far away last start, could improve again on the Poly and worth thought with tongue-tie off. 12

2 JUST STARS *** Maiden drawn wide but keeps Duric, is due and can win with positive ride expected. 3.00

3 EVERYTHING I NEED * Battler. 100

4 QIJI LOVE * Hard to have. 100

5 TRAVIS ** Race form poor but gets blinkers and recent trial with headgear good enough to follow. 12

6 MACEO *** Super disappointing not to have win given the heavy support and very poor last start but blinkers off and could win with Maia from gate 1. 3.00

7 LADY FAST *** Coming off a shocker but back in trip helps and could give a sight from gate 3. 12

8 NEW GARDEN * Improved effort last start but gate could test. 33

9 RIVER ROCA *** Form reads terribly but gets blinkers and a trial in August with headgear was good enough to win a race like this. 10

10 NATUREISSPEAKING * Blinkers off but looks a battler. 50

11 SPEED RACER *** Excuses last start and looked due to win a race like this so happy to follow. 8.00

12 MY MONEY ** Long-term maiden status a concern but found form and should figure from gate 2. 12

13 NINGALOO ** Honest and will figure in this finish if he gets a start. 12

14 VIJETA ** Late River Superstar. Honest without being a threat but a must for exotics. 12

Race 7

Selections; 11 TUESDAY – 6 PATTAYA – 1 TRAPIO – 3 CHOCANTE

A strong Class 4 with several having strong recent form in the grade. Michael Clements has three runners involved and you can make a serious case for TRAPIO, PATTAYA and TUESDAY. The jockeys may be the best guide with the favoured stable hoop, Louis Beuzelin, jumping back on TUESDAY who loomed the winner last start after a very good debut win; winkers added will help and he may be hard to hold out. Duric doesn’t play second fiddle often and PATTAYA has been dominant at his past two outings and no reason he cannot continue his winning form. Clements has opted for a 2kg claimer on the class dropper in TRAPIO and given he finished off stoutly in a higher-grade last start, he can also win with best work expected late. It’s a good race though and CHOCANTE was caught wide but made some ground last start and should be in the finish here, while MY BOSS rarely runs poorly and has been in good form since resuming. The chances don’t end there with BEER GARDEN coming off a good win when resuming, RISE OF EMPIRE knocking on the door and ELITE SILVERGHOST keeping them all honest. Betting Strategy – TUESDAY win, saver on TRAPIO.

1 TRAPIO *** Drops in grade after strong finishing effort through traffic last start. Poorly drawn but well placed this grade and will run on. 12

2 CHICAGO STAR * Faded out last start after winning on Singapore debut. Capable of improvement. 25

3 CHOCANTE *** Caught wide but made some ground last start. Last win was this class, distance and surface. From good gate should be in the finish. 4.00

4 EXDREAM * Caught wide throughout last start. Better for two Singapore outings and can improve with blinkers from good gate. 16

5 MY BOSS *** In good form since resuming and suited this class and distance. Will be near the speed throughout. 6.00

6 PATTAYA *** Won well in this grade last start and rises 2kg. Improving with each outing and will be hard to beat with Duric aboard. 4.00

7 ASAAD * Showed some speed last start and has trialled since. Argentinean winner but needs to improve on Singapore efforts to date. 50

8 BEER GARDEN *** Bolted in when resuming. Rises 3.5kg and has to overcome gate but pay to follow. 12

9 RISE OF EMPIRE *** Runner-up at both outings since resuming. Well-drawn and will be prominent from the good gate. 12

10 ELITE SILVERGHOST ** Placed last start in this Class and distance but may need longer to win. 20

11 TUESDAY *** Won Maiden easily on debut but couldn’t run down winner last start. Winkers will help and hard to hold out. 12

12 EL CHAPO * Won Class 5 two starts back but struggled last outing. Will find this too hard. 100

13 HEADHUNTER * Only battled last start after solid Singapore poly debut. Won twice before arrival and recent trial was sound. Can improve. 25

14 ME NO MARSH MELLOW * Recent trial solid and gets blinkers but needs to improve on efforts since coming from Malaysia. 50

Race 8

Selections; 6 SAYONARA – 3 BEAT THE LIGHT – 1 MIDDLE KINGDOM – 5 FIREWORKS

Not the worst Class 5 with several Maidens that might be better than the grade. The Cliff Brown-trained SAYONARA has been knocking on the door and the Shocking 5YO will appreciate the rise in trip to 1400m; with Vlad Duric to ride from gate 2, he gets his chance to break through. SMILING PROUD won twice in NZ before arrival in Singapore but hasn’t been able to break through in 16 outings; bad gates haven’t helped of late and from a better draw over a suitable trip, he can be in the finish. BEAT THE LIGHT is another Maiden who had no luck in running last start; this distance suits and he can be closing late. MIDDLE KINGDOM will appreciate the drop back in trip, blinkers replace winkers and he can improve. FIREWORKS and MR ROCKWELL for exotics and keep the first emergency, ATLANTEAN, safe as he wins in Class 5 sooner than later. Betting Strategy – SAYONARA win.

1 MIDDLE KINGDOM *** Has been disappointing since arriving in Singapore not to have won but shorter trip and upgrade to blinkers may help. 6.00

2 SABAH STAR * Maiden who only battled when resuming. Bad gate suggests another day. 33

3 BEAT THE LIGHT *** Held up before running on late when resuming. Still a Maiden but rarely far away and can break through. 5.00

4 SMILING PROUD *** Not helped by wide gate last start. Just missed at previous outing and from better draw can be in the finish with tongue-tie added. 4.00

5 FIREWORKS *** Caught wide but fought hard to place last start. Finds it hard to win but rarely runs poorly. 10

6 SAYONARA *** Still a Maiden but recent efforts sound. Suited this trip and will be hard to hold out with gate 2 and Duric factors. 3.00

7 MR ROCKWELL ** Struggled on wet track last outing. Poorly drawn but capable of improvement on form prior. 16

8 MINGS MAN ** 11YO which placed two starts back in similar company. Can surprise over his pet trip. 25

9 PRINCE PEGASUS ** Has support but disappointed last start. Winkers off, tongue-tie on may help. 33

10 VICTORY JOY * Surprised two starts back on turf this trip but returned to type last outing – albeit on the Poly. Take on trust. 50

11 GIANT KILLING ** Won on poly two starts back and hampered in straight last start. 1400m will suit but gate may test. 25

12 MAXIMILIAN ** Ran on late in this grade last start. Finds it hard to win but will finish off with no weight. 33

13 ATLANTEAN *** Disappointing when dropping to Class 5 last start and yet to win beyond 1200m but will win sooner than later in this Company so keep safe. 12

14 RINGS OF FIRE * Maiden. Showed some improvement last start and trip may suit. 50

Race 9

Selections; 1 GOLD FAITH – 2 RED RIDING WOOD – 3 TOBRUK – 4 BEBOP

Some solid journeymen with credentials over this trip make this a competitive Class 5. GOLD FAITH led before being run down last start over 1600m and has placed at both outings since dropping back into Class 5; his last win was this trip and he can overcome the wide gate. The one with upside is the Lee Freedman-trained TOBRUK. The 4YO broke through last start over 1600m and won’t be troubled by 1700m; Iskandar stays on and he will be hard to hold out. RED RIDING WOOD is another suited at the trip and given he had excuses not to win last start, he is right in this. BEBOP placed last start, his last win was this class and distance and will get a good run throughout. In a race of some depth, the emergency LITTLE MASTER can win if he gets a run, while ANGEL HALO and ZOFFSPEED have solid recent form and credentials at the trip. Betting Strategy – GOLD FAITH win.

1 GOLD FAITH *** Led before being run down last start. Awkwardly drawn but consistent this company and trip suits. Ready to win. 4.00

2 RED RIDING WOOD *** Won in this company two starts back and had traffic excuses not to go very close last start. Can win. 6.00

3 TOBRUK *** Broke through in this class last start. May have more upside than most and this trip will suit. Poorly drawn but can run on. 4.00

4 BEBOP *** Placed last start dropping o Class 5 and last win was this class and distance. Will get a good run throughout. 6.00

5 WHIZZY WALTZZY ** Resuming. Last start won this track and distance. Could show up fresh. Watch market. 20

6 CODIGOS ** Rarely far away but yet to win. Will be thereabouts on the back of a good trial. 25

7 ANGEL HALO ** Placed at past two outings and this distance suits. Poorly drawn but can be in the finish. 8.00

8 LION SPIRIT * Needs to improve on recent efforts and gate no help. 50

9 SHINE ALMIGHTY ** Maiden showing improvement. 1700m should suit and will run on. 20

10 SUN CONQUEROR * Has battled at three outings since resuming. Well-drawn but needs to find a length or two. 33

11 ZOFFSPEED ** Close up at all three outings on turf since resuming. Gets Vlad Duric and should be handy. 8.00

12 ROMAN CLASSIC ** Finds it hard to win but strong work late last start suggests more to offer. 33

13 LITTLE MASTER *** Excuses not to win last start and race obviously suits. Can win with gate 3 a bonus. 20

14 WHERE SHE’S HAPPY ** Still a Maiden but just missed last start when blinkers went on. Can run on. 20

Race 10

Selections; 4 IN ALL HIS GLORY – 2 IRONCHAMP – 1 CENTENARY DIAMOND – 10 MUSTENGO

Another good race featuring several 4YO’s with upside. The Cliff Brown-trained IN ALL HIS GLORY has won his past two outings over 1400m, 1600m will hold no fears and with Vlad Duric to ride from a good gate, he may be hardest to beat. IRONCHAMP won a Maiden at Geelong before arrival and showed he has settled into Singapore with a good win in this class last start; he rises 2kg but Simon Kok stays on and he could go on with it. SHEPHERDS HYMN is another promising type who has the ability to overcome the gate, while the mare MERYL was disappointing in the Singapore Guineas but her previous form was sound, winning over this trip three starts back. Include CENTENARY DIAMOND, BORN TO WIN and MUSTENGO in exotics. Betting Strategy – IN ALL HIS GLORY win.

1 CENTENARY DIAMOND *** Not far away at both outings since resuming and has trialled since. Can win over his pet trip. 10

2 IRONCHAMP *** Won this class and distance last start. Has some upside and claim helps. Will run on. 5.00

3 SHEPHERD’S HYMN *** Drops back from a win over 1800m but won Maiden over this trip four starts back. Has the ability to overcome the gate. 5.00

4 IN ALL HIS GLORY *** Promising sort that has won past two outings over 1400m. By All Too Hard and 1600m will suit. Hard to beat with Vlad Duric aboard. 4.00

5 MERYL *** Disappointed in the Guineas but previous form sound. Beat SHEPHERD’S HYMN over this trip three starts back and can be in the finish 6.00

6 LORD OF CLOUD * Better than what he has showed of late and recent trial suggests improvement. 50

7 BORN TO WIN ** Steps up in trip but in very honest form. Will be running on. 10

8 MAGNIFICENT GOLD ** Improved by recent outings but finds it hard to win. Exotics at value. 50

9 MANDRAKE ** Improving with each run and show enough last start to thin he will again be competitive in this strong field. 33

10 MUSTENGO *** Close up at past three outings and gets a tongue-tie. Poorly drawn but will run on strongly. 10

11 CIRCUIT STAR ** Finding it hard to win but placed over 1800m last start, is well drawn and should be prominent. 16

12 CATCH THE TIGER * Needs easier. 100

13 SUN ACE * Has solid Class 5 form but this is much harder. 50

14 SUN GENERAL * Won Class 5 last start but this is harder. 50

Race 11

Selections; 6 TOM CAT – 2 MIG PIERRO – 10 CALIFORNIA – 5 SUN STEP

Not a lot of depth in this Class 4 and few win out of turn. TOM CAT is poorly drawn but has been close up at both outings since resuming; he has the speed to go forward and will appreciate the drop back to 1000m. MIG PIERRO was caught wide and ran on last start and while he is better over longer, he might be the best horse in the race and will be closing late. SUN STEP came from a wide gate to win over this trip last start; he rises 2.5kg and is poorly drawn again but this is a moderate field and he could repeat. CALIFORNIA had excuses last start and this race suits on the back of a good trial and may be value from the wide gate, while OL MATE BUZZER won a Class 5 over this trip last start and has found a moderate Class 4; he could be strong late. Include SATURDAY in exotics. Betting Strategy – TOM CAT WIN, saver on CALIFORNIA.

1 FIRE AWAY * Unsighted when resuming. Last wins were in this class but needs to improve. 16

2 MIG PIERRO *** Caught wide and ran on last start. Better over longer but will be closing late. 4.00

3 GAMELY * Disappointed last start following win this class at previous outing. Poorly drawn (again) and might find these too sharp. 16

4 SIERRA CONQUEROR * Nuisance value only. 50

5 SUN STEP *** Came from a wide gate to win over this trip last start. Rises 2.5kg but could repeat. 4.00

6 TOM CAT *** Close up at both outings since resuming. Gate may test but should look the winner late. 3.40

7 SUPER POSH * Has speed but recent efforts moderate. Needs to improve. 20

8 SUPERNOVA * 12YO having 94th start. Tested. 100

9 SATURDAY ** Battled when resuming but blinkers go on and could figure in this moderate field. 14

10 CALIFORNIA *** Drawn wide but had excuse last start and race suits so can seriously consider on the back of a good trial. 10

11 LAI MAK MAK * Will find these too sharp sans blinkers. 50

12 OL MATE BUZZER ** Won Class 5 over this trip last start. Has found a moderate Class 4 and could be strong late. 10

13 LIM’S SHOT * Won Class 5 when resuming but has struggled since. Needs easier. 33

14 SUPER GREAT * Last win was over 1100m in this grade but battled when resuming over this trip. Could improve from good gate. 25

 

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